cbb·system

Wright State Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.16
PACE 80.34 possessions per game 4.38

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Wright State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.73 to 1.55 over 111 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014269 0.743

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWright State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-22 2014 Wright State @ Kentucky N 60–106 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-16 2014 Wright State @ Green Bay 88–69 conf_tournament
2014-03-14 2014 Youngstown State @ Wright State N 70–98 conf_tournament
2014-03-12 2014 Milwaukee @ Wright State 64–73 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Valparaiso @ Wright State 80–101 regular
2014-03-06 2014 Wright State @ Youngstown State 85–70 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Milwaukee @ Wright State 70–94 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Green Bay @ Wright State 79–72 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Wright State @ Detroit Mercy 102–82 regular
2014-02-19 2014 Wright State @ Oakland 92–78 regular
2014-02-15 2014 UIC @ Wright State 91–103 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Wright State @ Cleveland State 93–100 regular
2014-02-05 2014 Youngstown State @ Wright State 81–93 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Wright State @ UIC 77–74 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Wright State @ Green Bay 67–69 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Wright State @ Milwaukee 69–64 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Wright State @ Valparaiso 79–65 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Cleveland State @ Wright State 98–82 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Oakland @ Wright State 85–94 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Detroit Mercy @ Wright State 57–82 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Wright State @ Dayton 85–112 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Wright State @ Chicago State 84–62 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Bradley @ Wright State 71–87 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Gardner-Webb @ Wright State 77–90 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Xavier @ Wright State 54–79 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Wright State @ Louisville 40–99 regular
2013-12-01 2014 James Madison @ Wright State N 77–79 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Wright State @ Middle Tennessee N 62–69 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Wright State @ NC State N 99–90 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Marian (IN) @ Wright State 37–90 non_d1
2013-11-22 2014 Wright State @ Murray State 95–69 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Akron @ Wright State 80–90 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Memphis @ Wright State 83–75 regular
2013-11-13 2014 Miami (OH) @ Wright State 63–90 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Wright State @ Southern Illinois 67–64 regular