cbb·system

Florida Gators

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.17
PACE 70.54 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Florida AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 61.54 to 81.49 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFlorida auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-04 2015 Auburn @ Florida N 71–49 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Georgia @ Florida 52–45 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Florida @ Alabama 53–49 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Florida @ Texas A&M 46–66 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Vanderbilt @ Florida 76–75 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Florida @ Mississippi State 62–75 regular
2015-02-13 2015 Florida @ Georgia 51–48 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Tennessee @ Florida 64–56 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Florida @ Vanderbilt 67–58 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Missouri @ Florida 68–52 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Arkansas @ Florida 58–72 regular
2015-01-20 2015 South Carolina @ Florida 77–42 regular
2015-01-16 2015 Florida @ Kentucky 56–62 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Florida @ Missouri 47–66 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Ole Miss @ Florida 64–57 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Florida @ Auburn 63–50 regular
2015-01-03 2015 LSU @ Florida 68–65 regular
2014-12-28 2015 North Florida @ Florida 51–63 regular
2014-12-22 2015 Eastern Washington @ Florida 67–56 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Southern @ Florida 49–78 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Stetson @ Florida 54–59 regular
2014-12-11 2015 Wisconsin @ Florida 51–48 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Florida @ Florida State 51–77 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Florida @ Savannah State 58–68 regular
2014-12-02 2015 Virginia Tech @ Florida 44–73 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Florida @ Georgetown 81–73 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Charleston Southern @ Florida 64–92 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Florida @ St. John's 66–72 regular
2014-11-17 2015 Longwood @ Florida 46–91 regular
2014-11-14 2015 Jacksonville @ Florida 73–84 regular