cbb·system

Virginia Cavaliers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.78 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.60 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Virginia AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.50 to 1.07 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVirginia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-05 2020 Virginia @ Syracuse N 50–67 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 NC State @ Virginia 75–64 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Pittsburgh @ Virginia 55–66 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Virginia @ Virginia Tech 86–76 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Virginia @ Duke 47–62 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Miami @ Virginia 64–69 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Virginia @ Florida State 55–63 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Clemson @ Virginia 54–70 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Syracuse @ Virginia 41–57 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Virginia @ North Carolina 68–78 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Notre Dame @ Virginia 60–90 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Virginia @ Louisville 56–71 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Virginia Tech @ Virginia 69–61 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Virginia @ Wake Forest 56–62 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Virginia @ Boston College 69–52 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Duke @ Virginia 63–66 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Virginia @ NC State 60–80 regular
2020-01-03 2020 North Carolina @ Virginia 65–47 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Virginia @ Georgia Tech 51–61 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Mississippi State @ Virginia N 72–59 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Virginia @ UNLV 63–55 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Virginia @ Rutgers 63–73 regular
2019-12-01 2020 UCLA @ Virginia 73–62 regular
2019-11-30 2020 James Madison @ Virginia 49–55 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Old Dominion @ Virginia 53–56 regular
2019-11-20 2020 Virginia @ UConn 44–83 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Kentucky @ Virginia 50–47 regular
2019-11-13 2020 Virginia @ Cal State Northridge 72–47 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Virginia @ USC 49–59 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Bucknell @ Virginia 60–84 regular