cbb·system

Virginia Cavaliers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.22 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.99 possessions per game 5.07

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Virginia AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.70 to 1.28 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181914 0.576

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVirginia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-19 2018 Virginia @ South Carolina N 56–66 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-16 2018 Virginia @ California N 68–62 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-02 2018 Virginia @ Notre Dame N 47–83 conf_tournament
2018-03-01 2018 Georgia Tech @ Virginia N 58–60 conf_tournament
2018-02-25 2018 Virginia @ Wake Forest 48–41 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Virginia @ Louisville 39–51 regular
2018-02-18 2018 Miami @ Virginia 77–62 regular
2018-02-16 2018 Notre Dame @ Virginia 83–69 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Virginia @ Virginia Tech 64–62 regular
2018-02-09 2018 Virginia @ Florida State 62–77 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Louisville @ Virginia 77–41 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Virginia @ Georgia Tech 62–56 regular
2018-01-26 2018 North Carolina @ Virginia 70–82 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Virginia Tech @ Virginia 52–61 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Virginia @ Duke 48–55 regular
2018-01-12 2018 Virginia @ Boston College 68–57 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Clemson @ Virginia 41–70 regular
2018-01-05 2018 Virginia @ NC State 73–63 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Syracuse @ Virginia 63–68 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Pittsburgh @ Virginia 50–62 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Manhattan @ Virginia 47–69 regular
2017-12-18 2018 Indiana @ Virginia N 72–82 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Virginia @ Ohio N 77–59 regular
2017-12-04 2018 Virginia @ Rutgers 43–52 regular
2017-12-02 2018 UNC Greensboro @ Virginia 50–68 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Maryland @ Virginia 60–59 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Duquesne @ Virginia 74–63 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Harvard @ Virginia 48–50 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Hampton @ Virginia 62–66 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Virginia @ Dayton 46–61 regular
2017-11-17 2018 Georgia @ Virginia 64–61 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Central Connecticut @ Virginia 59–103 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Virginia @ Mississippi State 53–68 regular