cbb·system

Virginia Cavaliers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.46 possessions per game 5.08

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Virginia AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans 52.68 to 77.26 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVirginia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-07 2019 Virginia @ Syracuse N 57–67 conf_tournament
2019-03-06 2019 Boston College @ Virginia N 61–77 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 Virginia @ Notre Dame 66–103 regular
2019-03-01 2019 Virginia @ Virginia Tech 45–63 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Georgia Tech @ Virginia 45–53 regular
2019-02-22 2019 Louisville @ Virginia 71–49 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Virginia @ North Carolina 53–70 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Duke @ Virginia 47–53 regular
2019-02-08 2019 Boston College @ Virginia 77–79 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Virginia @ Miami 59–72 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Virginia @ Syracuse 68–72 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Wake Forest @ Virginia 52–42 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Virginia @ Pittsburgh 74–57 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Virginia @ Louisville 43–91 regular
2019-01-13 2019 NC State @ Virginia 66–38 regular
2019-01-11 2019 Virginia Tech @ Virginia 58–62 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Virginia @ Clemson 65–71 regular
2019-01-04 2019 Florida State @ Virginia 63–61 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Charlotte @ Virginia 61–65 regular
2018-12-21 2019 South Florida @ Virginia N 67–74 regular
2018-12-20 2019 Virginia @ Alabama N 52–64 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Radford @ Virginia 57–44 regular
2018-12-06 2019 American University @ Virginia 54–57 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Coppin State @ Virginia 41–55 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Virginia @ Michigan State 66–91 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Saint Louis @ Virginia 67–65 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Central Michigan @ Virginia 74–61 regular
2018-11-20 2019 North Carolina A&T @ Virginia 57–67 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Virginia @ Old Dominion 73–67 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Virginia @ Kentucky 51–63 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Mississippi State @ Virginia 72–44 regular