Virginia Cavaliers
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Sweet 16 (out) 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.17 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.85 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.32 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.05 | possessions per game | 4.54 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-05 19:30),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 53.68 to 125.89 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22 | 12 | 0.647 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Virginia | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | 2026 | Virginia @ TCU N | 69–79 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-23 | 2026 | Virginia @ Iowa | 83–75 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-21 | 2026 | Virginia @ Georgia N | 82–73 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026 | Arizona State @ Virginia N | 55–57 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026 | Clemson @ Virginia N | 63–50 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-01 | 2026 | Virginia Tech @ Virginia | 83–82 | regular |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 82–70 | regular |
| 2026-02-22 | 2026 | Virginia @ Louisville | 74–72 | regular |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026 | Virginia @ Stanford | 75–69 | regular |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026 | Virginia @ California | 58–64 | regular |
| 2026-02-08 | 2026 | Notre Dame @ Virginia | 70–81 | regular |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026 | Miami @ Virginia | 56–67 | regular |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026 | Virginia @ Virginia Tech | 64–76 | regular |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026 | Virginia @ Wake Forest | 109–103 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | NC State @ Virginia | 78–76 | regular |
| 2026-01-23 | 2026 | Pittsburgh @ Virginia | 46–84 | regular |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026 | Virginia @ Duke | 58–65 | regular |
| 2026-01-11 | 2026 | Syracuse @ Virginia | 79–60 | regular |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026 | Virginia @ Georgia Tech | 61–59 | regular |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026 | Virginia @ Florida State | 91–87 | regular |
| 2026-01-02 | 2026 | Clemson @ Virginia | 63–73 | regular |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026 | SMU @ Virginia | 52–76 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | Winthrop @ Virginia | 53–88 | regular |
| 2025-12-11 | 2026 | Howard @ Virginia | 50–76 | regular |
| 2025-12-07 | 2026 | Virginia @ Boston College | 81–55 | regular |
| 2025-12-03 | 2026 | Virginia @ Vanderbilt | 68–81 | regular |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026 | Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia | 59–92 | regular |
| 2025-11-26 | 2026 | Nebraska @ Virginia N | 91–82 | regular |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | Northwestern State @ Virginia N | 48–69 | regular |
| 2025-11-20 | 2026 | Longwood @ Virginia | 47–94 | regular |
| 2025-11-16 | 2026 | Radford @ Virginia | 46–77 | regular |
| 2025-11-14 | 2026 | UMBC @ Virginia | 61–56 | regular |
| 2025-11-09 | 2026 | Bucknell @ Virginia | 35–80 | regular |
| 2025-11-05 | 2026 | Morgan State @ Virginia | 36–86 | regular |