cbb·system

Longwood Lancers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.74 possessions per game 4.41

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Longwood AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 59.47 to 161.31 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201218 0.400

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLongwood auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-10 2020 Presbyterian @ Longwood 82–73 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Longwood @ Charleston Southern 63–52 regular
2020-03-05 2020 South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood 56–69 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Longwood @ High Point 79–86 regular
2020-02-26 2020 Winthrop @ Longwood 63–60 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Longwood @ Campbell 76–81 regular
2020-02-18 2020 Longwood @ Radford 76–88 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Hampton @ Longwood 90–76 regular
2020-02-12 2020 Longwood @ Gardner-Webb 70–73 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Presbyterian @ Longwood 82–77 regular
2020-02-04 2020 Longwood @ UNC Asheville 54–51 regular
2020-01-29 2020 Longwood @ Hampton 55–73 regular
2020-01-25 2020 UNC Asheville @ Longwood 56–73 regular
2020-01-22 2020 Longwood @ Winthrop 63–74 regular
2020-01-18 2020 High Point @ Longwood 76–69 regular
2020-01-14 2020 Radford @ Longwood 62–61 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate 70–62 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Charleston Southern @ Longwood 64–84 regular
2020-01-07 2020 Campbell @ Longwood 70–55 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Longwood @ Presbyterian 71–60 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Gardner-Webb @ Longwood 70–80 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Longwood @ Maryland Eastern Shore 71–62 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Delaware State @ Longwood 62–78 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Longwood @ Norfolk State 46–49 regular
2019-11-27 2020 East Carolina @ Longwood 64–61 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Longwood @ Wofford 76–79 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Brown @ Longwood 76–86 regular
2019-11-14 2020 UNC Wilmington @ Longwood 58–59 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Longwood @ Florida 54–71 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Longwood @ James Madison 53–93 regular