cbb·system

Indiana State Sycamores

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.88 possessions per game 4.76

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Indiana State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.42 to 1.15 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142012 0.625

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIndiana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-20 2014 Marquette @ Indiana State 63–61 other_postseason
2014-03-15 2014 Drake @ Indiana State 66–58 conf_tournament
2014-03-14 2014 Loyola Chicago @ Indiana State N 52–61 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Indiana State @ Northern Iowa 85–72 regular
2014-03-07 2014 Indiana State @ Drake 73–71 regular
2014-03-02 2014 Bradley @ Indiana State 60–73 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Loyola Chicago @ Indiana State 45–66 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Indiana State @ Wichita State 63–51 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Indiana State @ Missouri State 73–37 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Evansville @ Indiana State 63–56 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Southern Illinois @ Indiana State 35–72 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Indiana State @ Illinois State 50–53 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Indiana State @ Loyola Chicago 58–71 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Indiana State @ Bradley 80–67 regular
2014-01-28 2014 Wichita State @ Indiana State 83–63 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Missouri State @ Indiana State 57–74 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Indiana State @ Southern Illinois 63–44 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Indiana State @ Evansville 67–46 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Illinois State @ Indiana State 44–47 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Drake @ Indiana State 81–90 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Northern Iowa @ Indiana State 53–60 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Indiana State @ Tulane 45–51 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Northwestern @ Indiana State N 67–70 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Butler @ Indiana State 56–62 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Indiana State @ East Tennessee State 67–75 regular
2013-12-10 2014 IU Indianapolis @ Indiana State 68–64 regular
2013-12-03 2014 Indiana State @ LSU 66–83 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Indiana State @ Marshall 68–67 regular
2013-11-18 2014 Indiana State @ Stetson 74–90 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Indiana @ Indiana State 57–54 regular
2013-11-13 2014 Indiana State @ Eastern Illinois 65–53 regular
2013-11-09 2014 South Alabama @ Indiana State 40–53 regular