cbb·system

Indiana State Sycamores

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.61 points per possession 0.15
ME 0.29 points per possession 0.19
PACE 83.99 possessions per game 3.94

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Indiana State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 63.42 to 92.30 over 89 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151713 0.567

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIndiana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-14 2015 Indiana State @ Missouri State N 57–75 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Wichita State @ Indiana State 62–54 regular
2015-03-06 2015 Missouri State @ Indiana State 65–56 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Indiana State @ Evansville 71–53 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Indiana State @ Drake 61–76 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Indiana State @ Northern Iowa 29–64 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Southern Illinois @ Indiana State 76–58 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Illinois State @ Indiana State 65–74 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Indiana State @ Loyola Chicago 50–61 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Indiana State @ Bradley 65–55 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Evansville @ Indiana State 52–67 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Northern Iowa @ Indiana State 57–55 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Drake @ Indiana State 72–65 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Indiana State @ Illinois State 60–36 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Indiana State @ Southern Illinois 53–65 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Loyola Chicago @ Indiana State 37–64 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Bradley @ Indiana State 50–64 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Indiana State @ Missouri State 66–74 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Indiana State @ Wichita State 52–63 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Indiana State @ St. John's 73–67 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Indiana State @ SMU N 64–55 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Indiana State @ Saint Louis 68–58 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Indianapolis @ Indiana State 43–62 non_d1
2014-12-05 2015 Indiana State @ IU Indianapolis 61–60 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Indiana State @ Indiana 65–61 regular
2014-11-27 2015 Indiana State @ South Alabama 74–53 regular
2014-11-25 2015 East Tennessee State @ Indiana State 69–76 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Stetson @ Indiana State 62–52 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Indiana State @ Butler 66–51 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Saint Louis @ Indiana State 60–63 regular