cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.09 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.51 possessions per game 4.47

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 58.24 to 77.88 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221516 0.484

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-10 2022 Northwestern @ Iowa N 76–112 conf_tournament
2022-03-09 2022 Nebraska @ Northwestern N 69–71 conf_tournament
2022-03-07 2022 Minnesota @ Northwestern 62–75 regular
2022-03-01 2022 Northwestern @ Iowa 61–82 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Northwestern @ Penn State 60–67 regular
2022-02-23 2022 Nebraska @ Northwestern 65–77 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Northwestern @ Minnesota 60–77 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Purdue @ Northwestern 70–64 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Northwestern @ Illinois 66–73 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Indiana @ Northwestern 51–59 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Northwestern @ Nebraska 87–63 regular
2022-02-02 2022 Rutgers @ Northwestern 78–79 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Illinois @ Northwestern 59–56 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Northwestern @ Michigan 70–72 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Northwestern @ Purdue 60–80 regular
2022-01-19 2022 Wisconsin @ Northwestern 82–76 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Northwestern @ Michigan State 64–62 regular
2022-01-13 2022 Maryland @ Northwestern 94–87 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Northwestern @ Ohio State 87–95 regular
2022-01-06 2022 Penn State @ Northwestern 74–70 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Michigan State @ Northwestern 73–67 regular
2021-12-30 2022 Prairie View A&M @ Northwestern canceled regular
2021-12-21 2022 Illinois-Springfield @ Northwestern 50–90 non_d1
2021-12-18 2022 DePaul @ Northwestern canceled regular
2021-12-12 2022 NJIT @ Northwestern 52–70 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Northwestern @ Maryland 67–61 regular
2021-12-01 2022 Northwestern @ Wake Forest 73–77 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Georgia @ Northwestern N 62–78 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Providence @ Northwestern N 77–72 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Northwestern 46–82 regular
2021-11-17 2022 New Orleans @ Northwestern 67–83 regular
2021-11-13 2022 High Point @ Northwestern 60–95 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Eastern Illinois @ Northwestern 56–80 regular