cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.18 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.77 possessions per game 4.49

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 54.72 to 75.54 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251716 0.515

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-13 2025 Northwestern @ Wisconsin N 63–70 conf_tournament
2025-03-12 2025 Northwestern @ Minnesota N 72–64 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Northwestern @ Maryland 61–74 regular
2025-03-04 2025 UCLA @ Northwestern 73–69 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Iowa @ Northwestern 57–68 regular
2025-02-26 2025 Northwestern @ Minnesota 75–63 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Northwestern @ Ohio State 70–49 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Nebraska @ Northwestern 68–64 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Northwestern @ Oregon 75–81 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Northwestern @ Washington 71–76 regular
2025-02-05 2025 USC @ Northwestern 75–77 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Wisconsin @ Northwestern 75–69 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Rutgers @ Northwestern 79–72 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Northwestern @ Illinois 74–83 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Indiana @ Northwestern 70–79 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Northwestern @ Michigan 76–80 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Maryland @ Northwestern 74–76 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Michigan State @ Northwestern 78–68 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Northwestern @ Purdue 61–79 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Northwestern @ Penn State 80–84 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Northeastern @ Northwestern 60–85 regular
2024-12-21 2025 DePaul @ Northwestern 64–84 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Georgia Tech @ Northwestern N 60–71 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Illinois @ Northwestern 66–70 regular
2024-12-04 2025 Northwestern @ Iowa 79–80 regular
2024-11-30 2025 UNLV @ Northwestern N 61–66 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Northwestern @ Butler N 69–71 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Pepperdine @ Northwestern 50–68 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Montana State @ Northwestern 69–72 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Eastern Illinois @ Northwestern 58–67 regular
2024-11-13 2025 UIC @ Northwestern 74–83 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Northwestern @ Dayton 66–71 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Lehigh @ Northwestern 46–90 regular