cbb·system

Mississippi State Bulldogs

mens SEC canonical name from espn_mbb #11 Play-in (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.19 possessions per game 4.48

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mississippi State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.35 to 1.21 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232113 0.618

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMississippi State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-15 2023 Pittsburgh @ Mississippi State N 60–59 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Mississippi State @ Alabama N 49–72 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Mississippi State @ Florida N 69–68 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Mississippi State @ Vanderbilt 72–77 regular
2023-03-01 2023 South Carolina @ Mississippi State 68–74 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 62–69 regular
2023-02-22 2023 Mississippi State @ Missouri 64–66 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Mississippi State @ Ole Miss 69–61 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Kentucky @ Mississippi State 71–68 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Mississippi State @ Arkansas 70–64 regular
2023-02-09 2023 LSU @ Mississippi State 53–64 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Missouri @ Mississippi State 52–63 regular
2023-01-31 2023 Mississippi State @ South Carolina 66–51 regular
2023-01-28 2023 TCU @ Mississippi State 74–81 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Mississippi State @ Alabama 63–66 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Florida @ Mississippi State 61–59 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Tennessee @ Mississippi State 70–59 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Mississippi State @ Auburn 63–69 regular
2023-01-11 2023 Mississippi State @ Georgia 50–58 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Ole Miss @ Mississippi State 54–64 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Mississippi State @ Tennessee 53–87 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Alabama @ Mississippi State 78–67 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Mississippi State @ Drake N 52–58 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Nicholls @ Mississippi State 66–68 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Mississippi State @ Jackson State N 69–59 regular
2022-12-12 2023 Mississippi State @ Minnesota 69–51 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Mississippi Valley State @ Mississippi State 52–82 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Omaha @ Mississippi State 54–74 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Utah @ Mississippi State N 49–52 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Marquette @ Mississippi State N 55–58 regular
2022-11-18 2023 South Dakota @ Mississippi State 42–79 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi State 47–80 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Mississippi State @ Akron N 73–54 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Mississippi State 44–63 regular