Mississippi State Bulldogs

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Ratings · 2021

Dimension	Value	Unit	σ
OE	1.08	points per possession	0.13
DE	0.95	points per possession	0.14
ME	0.12	points per possession	0.19
PACE	66.19	possessions per game	4.72

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-06 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 56.18 to 78.40 over 59 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

Season	W	L	Pct
2021	18	15	0.545

Season

Pct

2021

0.545

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

Source	Name	Reviewed
cbbd	Mississippi State	auto

Source

Name

Reviewed

cbbd

Mississippi State

auto

Schedule & results

Date	S	Matchup	Score	Type
2021-03-28	2021	Mississippi State @ Memphis N	64–77	nit
2021-03-27	2021	Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi State N	62–84	nit
2021-03-25	2021	Mississippi State @ Richmond N	68–67	nit
2021-03-20	2021	Mississippi State @ Saint Louis N	74–68	nit
2021-03-12	2021	Mississippi State @ Alabama N	48–85	conf_tournament
2021-03-11	2021	Mississippi State @ Kentucky N	74–73	conf_tournament
2021-03-06	2021	Mississippi State @ Auburn	71–78	regular
2021-03-04	2021	Mississippi State @ Texas A&M	63–57	regular
2021-02-27	2021	Alabama @ Mississippi State	64–59	regular
2021-02-25	2021	South Carolina @ Mississippi State	48–69	regular
2021-02-20	2021	Mississippi State @ Ole Miss	66–56	regular
2021-02-18	2021	Mississippi State @ Auburn	scheduled	regular
2021-02-13	2021	Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State	72–51	regular
2021-02-11	2021	LSU @ Mississippi State	94–80	regular
2021-02-06	2021	Mississippi State @ South Carolina	75–59	regular
2021-02-03	2021	Mississippi State @ Arkansas	45–61	regular
2021-01-30	2021	Iowa State @ Mississippi State	56–95	regular
2021-01-27	2021	Mississippi State @ Tennessee	53–56	regular
2021-01-23	2021	Mississippi State @ Alabama	73–81	regular
2021-01-20	2021	Ole Miss @ Mississippi State	64–46	regular
2021-01-16	2021	Florida @ Mississippi State	69–72	regular
2021-01-14	2021	Texas A&M @ Mississippi State	56–55	regular
2021-01-09	2021	Mississippi State @ Vanderbilt	84–81	regular
2021-01-06	2021	Missouri @ Mississippi State	63–78	regular
2021-01-02	2021	Kentucky @ Mississippi State	78–73	regular
2020-12-31	2021	Mississippi State @ Georgia	83–73	regular
2020-12-22	2021	Mississippi Valley State @ Mississippi State	48–87	regular
2020-12-17	2021	Central Arkansas @ Mississippi State	65–81	regular
2020-12-12	2021	Mississippi State @ Dayton N	82–85	regular
2020-12-09	2021	Jackson State @ Mississippi State	59–82	regular
2020-12-05	2021	North Texas @ Mississippi State	63–69	regular
2020-12-01	2021	Texas State @ Mississippi State	51–68	regular
2020-11-26	2021	Liberty @ Mississippi State N	84–73	regular
2020-11-26	2021	Mississippi State @ Clemson N	42–53	regular