Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
mens
Big Sky
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.00 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.14 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.14 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 64.20 | possessions per game | 4.82 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.89 to 1.42 over
65 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 6 | 16 | 0.273 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Northern Arizona | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington N | 60–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State N | 77–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona | 92–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-25 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah | 80–85 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Weber State | 52–74 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Weber State | 59–92 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Portland State @ Northern Arizona | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Portland State @ Northern Arizona | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | 64–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Montana State @ Northern Arizona | 58–53 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Montana State @ Northern Arizona | 62–51 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Montana | 62–58 | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Montana | 56–67 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona | 76–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona | 73–69 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho | 83–78 | regular |
| 2021-01-01 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho | 78–65 | regular |
| 2020-12-29 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Gonzaga | 58–88 | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Denver | 68–65 | regular |
| 2020-12-21 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Texas State N | 65–70 | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona | 80–64 | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-15 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Colorado State | 52–91 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Gonzaga | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-11 | 2021 | UC Riverside @ Northern Arizona | 74–50 | regular |
| 2020-12-08 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Arizona | 53–96 | regular |
| 2020-11-26 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Arizona | canceled | regular |