Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
mens
Big Sky
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| DE | 1.13 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.18 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 64.87 | possessions per game | 4.58 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-05 01:20),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans 0.82 to 1.38 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 9 | 23 | 0.281 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Northern Arizona | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-09 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington N | 75–78 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-05 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho | 69–78 | regular |
| 2022-03-04 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington | 62–69 | regular |
| 2022-02-26 | 2022 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona | 73–49 | regular |
| 2022-02-25 | 2022 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona | 70–66 | regular |
| 2022-02-22 | 2022 | Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona | 79–48 | regular |
| 2022-02-18 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | 67–68 | regular |
| 2022-02-12 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Montana State | 70–72 | regular |
| 2022-02-11 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Montana | 72–67 | regular |
| 2022-02-08 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado | 60–82 | regular |
| 2022-02-05 | 2022 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | 74–71 | regular |
| 2022-02-04 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State | 62–61 | regular |
| 2022-02-01 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah | 66–78 | regular |
| 2022-01-29 | 2022 | Portland State @ Northern Arizona | 97–76 | regular |
| 2022-01-25 | 2022 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona | 65–70 | regular |
| 2022-01-22 | 2022 | Montana @ Northern Arizona | 58–48 | regular |
| 2022-01-21 | 2022 | Montana State @ Northern Arizona | 89–84 | regular |
| 2022-01-18 | 2022 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona | 72–74 | regular |
| 2022-01-15 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado | scheduled | regular |
| 2022-01-11 | 2022 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona | scheduled | regular |
| 2022-01-09 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah | scheduled | regular |
| 2022-01-06 | 2022 | Embry-Riddle (AZ) @ Northern Arizona | 54–101 | non_d1 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2022 | Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona | 78–65 | regular |
| 2021-12-31 | 2022 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-12-21 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Gonzaga | 49–95 | regular |
| 2021-12-19 | 2022 | San Diego @ Northern Arizona N | 69–59 | regular |
| 2021-12-11 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ South Dakota | 71–76 | regular |
| 2021-12-05 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho State | 73–70 | regular |
| 2021-12-03 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Weber State | 44–67 | regular |
| 2021-11-25 | 2022 | Cal State Fullerton @ Northern Arizona | 73–56 | regular |
| 2021-11-23 | 2022 | UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northern Arizona | 82–80 | regular |
| 2021-11-20 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ UT Rio Grande Valley N | 89–87 | regular |
| 2021-11-19 | 2022 | Cal State Bakersfield @ Northern Arizona | 64–74 | regular |
| 2021-11-16 | 2022 | Benedictine (AZ) @ Northern Arizona | 48–97 | non_d1 |
| 2021-11-12 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Washington | 62–73 | regular |
| 2021-11-10 | 2022 | Northern Arizona @ Arizona | 52–81 | regular |