Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
mens
Big Sky
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.15 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.08 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 65.58 | possessions per game | 4.45 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.85 to 1.41 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | 16 | 0.529 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Northern Arizona | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-23 | 2025 | Queens University @ Northern Arizona N | 85–78 | other_postseason |
| 2025-03-10 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Montana N | 65–74 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-09 | 2025 | Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona N | 53–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-04 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho State | 82–79 | regular |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | 83–73 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona | 67–87 | regular |
| 2025-02-21 | 2025 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona | 83–78 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State | 65–61 | regular |
| 2025-02-14 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | 46–58 | regular |
| 2025-02-09 | 2025 | Montana @ Northern Arizona | 83–80 | regular |
| 2025-02-07 | 2025 | Montana State @ Northern Arizona | 64–69 | regular |
| 2025-02-04 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Weber State | 73–77 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado | 69–87 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho | 80–72 | regular |
| 2025-01-24 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington | 70–61 | regular |
| 2025-01-19 | 2025 | Portland State @ Northern Arizona | 80–69 | regular |
| 2025-01-17 | 2025 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona | 53–77 | regular |
| 2025-01-12 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Montana State | 53–58 | regular |
| 2025-01-10 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Montana | 76–81 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona | 77–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-03 | 2025 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona | 72–67 | regular |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025 | Benedictine (AZ) @ Northern Arizona | 74–110 | non_d1 |
| 2024-12-21 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah | 83–75 | regular |
| 2024-12-14 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Pepperdine | 76–86 | regular |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | South Dakota @ Northern Arizona | 82–95 | regular |
| 2024-12-05 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Oral Roberts | 76–83 | regular |
| 2024-11-28 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Houston Christian | 74–71 | regular |
| 2024-11-27 | 2025 | Eastern Michigan @ Northern Arizona N | 72–68 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | Incarnate Word @ Northern Arizona | 74–75 | regular |
| 2024-11-19 | 2025 | Embry-Riddle (AZ) @ Northern Arizona | 47–82 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-15 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Pacific | 60–57 | regular |
| 2024-11-13 | 2025 | Northern Arizona @ Stanford | 64–90 | regular |
| 2024-11-09 | 2025 | Nelson @ Northern Arizona | 67–115 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Park University Gilbert @ Northern Arizona | 49–100 | non_d1 |