Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
mens
Big Sky
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.09 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.12 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.03 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 66.99 | possessions per game | 4.35 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-04 01:20),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.73 to 1.35 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 12 | 23 | 0.343 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Northern Arizona | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-09 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Montana State N | 78–85 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-08 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Montana N | 83–71 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-06 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington N | 81–80 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-05 | 2023 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona N | 76–87 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-02-28 | 2023 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona | 90–89 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado | 85–82 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho | 72–50 | regular |
| 2023-02-17 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington | 55–72 | regular |
| 2023-02-11 | 2023 | Portland State @ Northern Arizona | 88–87 | regular |
| 2023-02-10 | 2023 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona | 55–77 | regular |
| 2023-02-07 | 2023 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona | 75–70 | regular |
| 2023-02-05 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Montana | 66–67 | regular |
| 2023-02-03 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Montana State | 68–69 | regular |
| 2023-01-28 | 2023 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | 73–83 | regular |
| 2023-01-21 | 2023 | Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona | 79–76 | regular |
| 2023-01-20 | 2023 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona | 88–83 | regular |
| 2023-01-14 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State | 56–59 | regular |
| 2023-01-13 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | 74–75 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Montana State @ Northern Arizona | 69–54 | regular |
| 2023-01-06 | 2023 | Montana @ Northern Arizona | 74–75 | regular |
| 2022-12-31 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Weber State | 60–76 | regular |
| 2022-12-30 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho State | 53–79 | regular |
| 2022-12-17 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah | 101–106 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | Utah Valley @ Northern Arizona | 80–75 | regular |
| 2022-12-07 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Pacific | 73–69 | regular |
| 2022-12-04 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Pepperdine | 69–88 | regular |
| 2022-11-30 | 2023 | Ottawa (AZ) @ Northern Arizona | 51–82 | non_d1 |
| 2022-11-27 | 2023 | Abilene Christian @ Northern Arizona | 92–82 | regular |
| 2022-11-23 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ UT Rio Grande Valley | 79–91 | regular |
| 2022-11-22 | 2023 | Texas @ Northern Arizona N | 73–48 | regular |
| 2022-11-19 | 2023 | UC Santa Barbara @ Northern Arizona | 54–63 | regular |
| 2022-11-16 | 2023 | Benedictine (AZ) @ Northern Arizona | 49–105 | non_d1 |
| 2022-11-12 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Utah Valley | 69–73 | regular |
| 2022-11-11 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Arizona State | 68–84 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Michigan State | 55–73 | regular |