Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
mens
Big Sky
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.00 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.13 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.14 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.87 | possessions per game | 4.51 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 58.06 to 78.39 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14 | 19 | 0.424 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Northern Arizona | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-10 | 2024 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona N | 68–60 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-05 | 2024 | Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona | 82–74 | regular |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Weber State | 58–85 | regular |
| 2024-03-01 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho State | 92–88 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | Idaho @ Northern Arizona | 86–76 | regular |
| 2024-02-23 | 2024 | Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona | 71–78 | regular |
| 2024-02-18 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Portland State | 68–83 | regular |
| 2024-02-16 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State | 73–58 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Montana State @ Northern Arizona | 71–76 | regular |
| 2024-02-09 | 2024 | Montana @ Northern Arizona | 94–66 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Idaho State @ Northern Arizona | 81–79 | regular |
| 2024-02-02 | 2024 | Weber State @ Northern Arizona | 72–70 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington | 70–85 | regular |
| 2024-01-26 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Idaho | 75–60 | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona | 61–70 | regular |
| 2024-01-19 | 2024 | Portland State @ Northern Arizona | 65–84 | regular |
| 2024-01-14 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Montana | 47–90 | regular |
| 2024-01-12 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Montana State | 50–79 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | North Dakota @ Northern Arizona | 73–74 | regular |
| 2024-01-04 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Omaha | 55–81 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado | 77–92 | regular |
| 2023-12-21 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ San Francisco | 51–91 | regular |
| 2023-12-16 | 2024 | Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona | 74–76 | regular |
| 2023-12-09 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Incarnate Word | 76–75 | regular |
| 2023-12-07 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Abilene Christian | 78–76 | regular |
| 2023-12-02 | 2024 | Pacific @ Northern Arizona | 58–78 | regular |
| 2023-11-30 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ UC Santa Barbara | 59–70 | regular |
| 2023-11-22 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Hawai'i | 61–70 | regular |
| 2023-11-18 | 2024 | VMI @ Northern Arizona N | 69–78 | regular |
| 2023-11-17 | 2024 | Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Arizona N | 77–67 | regular |
| 2023-11-16 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Seattle U | 62–60 | regular |
| 2023-11-12 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ Grand Canyon | 55–89 | regular |
| 2023-11-06 | 2024 | Northern Arizona @ UConn | 52–95 | regular |