Valparaiso Beacons
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.97 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| DE | 1.10 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.13 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 68.08 | possessions per game | 4.29 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-04 01:20),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.78 to 1.37 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 21 | 0.344 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Valparaiso | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-03 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Murray State N | 50–78 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-02-26 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Murray State | 76–77 | regular |
| 2023-02-23 | 2023 | Bradley @ Valparaiso | 76–66 | regular |
| 2023-02-19 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ UIC | 73–74 | regular |
| 2023-02-15 | 2023 | Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso | 66–62 | regular |
| 2023-02-12 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 76–81 | regular |
| 2023-02-09 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Indiana State | 62–84 | regular |
| 2023-02-05 | 2023 | Drake @ Valparaiso | 85–82 | regular |
| 2023-02-02 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Missouri State | 67–76 | regular |
| 2023-01-29 | 2023 | Evansville @ Valparaiso | 69–81 | regular |
| 2023-01-26 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa | 66–77 | regular |
| 2023-01-22 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 71–51 | regular |
| 2023-01-18 | 2023 | UIC @ Valparaiso | 66–76 | regular |
| 2023-01-14 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Evansville | 76–69 | regular |
| 2023-01-11 | 2023 | Belmont @ Valparaiso | 74–59 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Bradley | 66–88 | regular |
| 2023-01-05 | 2023 | Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso | 69–67 | regular |
| 2023-01-01 | 2023 | Indiana State @ Valparaiso | 68–50 | regular |
| 2022-12-30 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Drake | 63–68 | regular |
| 2022-12-21 | 2023 | Stonehill @ Valparaiso | 67–77 | regular |
| 2022-12-18 | 2023 | Elon @ Valparaiso | 66–71 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Ole Miss | 61–98 | regular |
| 2022-12-07 | 2023 | Trinity Christian (IL) @ Valparaiso | 60–96 | non_d1 |
| 2022-12-04 | 2023 | Murray State @ Valparaiso | 77–70 | regular |
| 2022-12-02 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Belmont | 64–76 | regular |
| 2022-11-27 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ James Madison N | 81–79 | regular |
| 2022-11-25 | 2023 | South Dakota State @ Valparaiso N | 61–50 | regular |
| 2022-11-23 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Samford | 49–79 | regular |
| 2022-11-20 | 2023 | Incarnate Word @ Valparaiso | 64–68 | regular |
| 2022-11-17 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Chicago State | 74–87 | regular |
| 2022-11-13 | 2023 | Western Michigan @ Valparaiso | 65–81 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Toledo | 70–85 | regular |