cbb·system

Valparaiso Beacons

mens MVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.19 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Valparaiso AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 57.84 to 78.31 over 74 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251519 0.441

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdValparaiso auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-08 2025 Valparaiso @ Bradley N 65–70 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa N 64–63 conf_tournament
2025-03-07 2025 Valparaiso @ UIC N 67–50 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 Valparaiso @ UIC 73–77 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Bradley @ Valparaiso 76–65 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois 83–79 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Missouri State @ Valparaiso 64–66 regular
2025-02-17 2025 Valparaiso @ Evansville 69–79 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Belmont @ Valparaiso 86–101 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Murray State @ Valparaiso 74–56 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Valparaiso @ Indiana State 62–80 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Valparaiso @ Illinois State 78–86 regular
2025-01-29 2025 Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso 79–75 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Evansville @ Valparaiso 78–68 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Valparaiso @ Drake 71–81 regular
2025-01-18 2025 UIC @ Valparaiso 81–74 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Valparaiso @ Belmont 64–71 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Valparaiso @ Murray State 47–58 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Indiana State @ Valparaiso 95–98 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso 73–80 regular
2025-01-02 2025 Valparaiso @ Missouri State 73–72 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Valparaiso @ Bradley 75–81 regular
2024-12-22 2025 Calumet College @ Valparaiso 57–107 non_d1
2024-12-20 2025 Valparaiso @ Western Michigan 76–73 regular
2024-12-18 2025 Valparaiso @ Ohio State 73–95 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Central Michigan @ Valparaiso 77–93 regular
2024-12-06 2025 Drake @ Valparaiso 66–60 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Valparaiso @ DePaul 70–89 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Northern Illinois @ Valparaiso 82–87 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Eastern Illinois @ Valparaiso 53–81 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Lindenwood @ Valparaiso 64–77 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Cleveland State @ Valparaiso 75–67 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Concordia-Ann Arbor @ Valparaiso 46–111 non_d1
2024-11-04 2025 Valparaiso @ Liberty N 63–83 regular