Valparaiso Beacons
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.10 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.09 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.02 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 64.88 | possessions per game | 4.68 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 54.83 to 75.41 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18 | 15 | 0.545 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Valparaiso | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Bradley N | 84–90 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026 | Indiana State @ Valparaiso N | 62–63 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Evansville | 79–80 | regular |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026 | Drake @ Valparaiso | 71–74 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ UIC | 71–67 | regular |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026 | Bradley @ Valparaiso | 72–79 | regular |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026 | Indiana State @ Valparaiso | 75–76 | regular |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 64–86 | regular |
| 2026-02-10 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Drake | 81–76 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Evansville @ Valparaiso | 63–70 | regular |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Bradley | 65–72 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Indiana State | 76–72 | regular |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026 | Belmont @ Valparaiso | 78–77 | regular |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026 | Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso | 63–69 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso | 44–54 | regular |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Belmont | 74–78 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Murray State | 79–92 | regular |
| 2026-01-08 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 71–77 | regular |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026 | UIC @ Valparaiso | 59–66 | regular |
| 2026-01-01 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois | 70–75 | regular |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa | 48–58 | regular |
| 2025-12-21 | 2026 | Murray State @ Valparaiso | 85–79 | regular |
| 2025-12-17 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Northwestern | 70–86 | regular |
| 2025-12-13 | 2026 | UNC Wilmington @ Valparaiso | 73–70 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | Calumet College @ Valparaiso | 58–98 | non_d1 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Marquette | 72–75 | regular |
| 2025-11-29 | 2026 | Western Michigan @ Valparaiso | 55–84 | regular |
| 2025-11-26 | 2026 | Southern Indiana @ Valparaiso | 64–56 | regular |
| 2025-11-20 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Cleveland State | 90–75 | regular |
| 2025-11-16 | 2026 | Bryant @ Valparaiso | 50–68 | regular |
| 2025-11-13 | 2026 | Nicholls @ Valparaiso | 63–68 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Kentucky | 59–107 | regular |
| 2025-11-05 | 2026 | Eastern Illinois @ Valparaiso | 63–66 | regular |