cbb·system

San Francisco Dons

mens WCC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.14 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.14 possessions per game 4.36

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

San Francisco AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 57.57 to 77.47 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252510 0.714

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSan Francisco auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-23 2025 Loyola Chicago @ San Francisco 77–76 nit
2025-03-20 2025 Utah Valley @ San Francisco 70–79 nit
2025-03-11 2025 San Francisco @ Gonzaga N 76–85 conf_tournament
2025-03-10 2025 Washington State @ San Francisco N 75–86 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 Gonzaga @ San Francisco 95–75 regular
2025-02-27 2025 San Francisco @ Oregon State 74–72 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Pacific @ San Francisco 58–71 regular
2025-02-16 2025 San Francisco @ San Diego 84–61 regular
2025-02-14 2025 San Francisco @ Gonzaga 77–88 regular
2025-02-09 2025 San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount 72–66 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Saint Mary's @ San Francisco 64–65 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Washington State @ San Francisco 51–75 regular
2025-01-26 2025 San Diego @ San Francisco 69–81 regular
2025-01-24 2025 San Francisco @ Saint Mary's 51–71 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Oregon State @ San Francisco 70–81 regular
2025-01-17 2025 San Francisco @ Pepperdine 80–63 regular
2025-01-12 2025 San Francisco @ Santa Clara 54–77 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Portland @ San Francisco 72–81 regular
2025-01-05 2025 San Francisco @ Washington State 82–91 regular
2025-01-03 2025 San Francisco @ Pacific 89–81 regular
2024-12-31 2025 Santa Clara @ San Francisco 94–97 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco 55–70 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Montana @ San Francisco 67–71 regular
2024-12-19 2025 San Francisco @ Bradley 64–66 regular
2024-12-15 2025 San Francisco @ Loyola Chicago N 76–66 regular
2024-12-12 2025 Stanislaus State @ San Francisco 52–68 non_d1
2024-12-06 2025 Saint Louis @ San Francisco 61–78 regular
2024-12-02 2025 Mercyhurst @ San Francisco 59–87 regular
2024-11-26 2025 San Francisco @ Fordham N 85–64 regular
2024-11-25 2025 Clemson @ San Francisco N 70–55 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Memphis @ San Francisco 68–64 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Chicago State @ San Francisco 37–82 regular
2024-11-14 2025 Long Beach State @ San Francisco 54–84 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Boise State @ San Francisco 73–84 regular
2024-11-06 2025 Cal Poly @ San Francisco 78–86 regular