cbb·system

Western Michigan Broncos

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.16
PACE 68.89 possessions per game 4.90

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Michigan AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.18 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141318 0.419

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWestern Michigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-12 2014 Western Michigan @ Toledo N 61–72 conf_tournament
2014-03-10 2014 Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan 72–82 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois 51–59 regular
2014-03-06 2014 Western Michigan @ Central Michigan 75–84 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Ball State @ Western Michigan 79–73 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan 72–81 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Western Michigan @ Toledo 60–59 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Ohio @ Western Michigan 64–71 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Kent State @ Western Michigan 57–48 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Western Michigan @ Akron 66–79 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 50–72 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan 43–56 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Western Michigan @ Ball State 43–56 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Central Michigan @ Western Michigan 113–87 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan 75–86 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Toledo @ Western Michigan 72–78 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan 77–83 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Western Michigan @ Ohio 53–70 regular
2014-01-08 2014 Buffalo @ Western Michigan 72–82 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) 88–78 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Western Michigan @ Valparaiso 72–50 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Oakland @ Western Michigan 72–62 regular
2013-12-19 2014 UIC @ Western Michigan 71–61 regular
2013-12-05 2014 IU Indianapolis @ Western Michigan 79–64 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Western Michigan @ Chicago State 67–49 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Western Michigan @ Arkansas 46–61 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Western Michigan @ Tulsa 59–60 regular
2013-11-19 2014 Michigan @ Western Michigan 73–45 regular
2013-11-15 2014 Detroit Mercy @ Western Michigan 86–103 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Western Michigan @ UAlbany 61–77 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Western Michigan @ Massachusetts 66–58 regular