cbb·system

Western Michigan Broncos

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.41 possessions per game 4.56

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Michigan AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.60 to 1.24 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201813 0.581

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWestern Michigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-11 2020 Western Michigan @ Ohio N 75–84 conf_tournament
2020-03-09 2020 Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 67–84 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Ball State @ Western Michigan 64–63 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan 53–49 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan 50–63 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Western Michigan @ Central Michigan 60–76 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Western Michigan @ Toledo 70–58 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 55–69 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois 68–65 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Buffalo @ Western Michigan 62–74 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan 83–79 regular
2020-02-04 2020 Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) 67–70 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Western Michigan @ Ball State 65–68 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) postponed regular
2020-01-25 2020 Akron @ Western Michigan 71–79 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 63–72 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Central Michigan @ Western Michigan 80–70 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Ohio @ Western Michigan 72–73 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Western Michigan @ Kent State 63–75 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Western Michigan @ Akron 56–51 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Toledo @ Western Michigan 72–84 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Western Michigan @ Loyola Chicago 70–60 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Western Michigan @ Stony Brook N 47–50 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Denver @ Western Michigan N 70–79 regular
2019-12-14 2020 Chicago State @ Western Michigan 69–90 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Western Michigan @ UIC 80–52 regular
2019-12-01 2020 New Mexico State @ Western Michigan N 76–79 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Western Michigan @ UTEP 46–76 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Florida Atlantic @ Western Michigan 80–79 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Detroit Mercy @ Western Michigan 67–82 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Kentucky State @ Western Michigan 41–80 non_d1
2019-11-09 2020 Western Michigan @ Michigan 55–76 regular