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Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.19
PACE 63.94 possessions per game 5.13

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UIC AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.34 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251518 0.455

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUIC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-23 2025 UIC @ Butler 54–61 other_postseason
2025-03-22 2025 UAB @ UIC 48–63 other_postseason
2025-03-14 2025 UIC @ Missouri State N 70–77 conf_tournament
2025-03-13 2025 Evansville @ UIC N 62–72 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Drake @ UIC 69–49 regular
2025-03-07 2025 Northern Iowa @ UIC 57–76 regular
2025-03-01 2025 UIC @ Bradley 54–65 regular
2025-02-28 2025 UIC @ Illinois State 64–65 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Evansville @ UIC 54–71 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Indiana State @ UIC 71–94 regular
2025-02-16 2025 UIC @ Southern Illinois 62–46 regular
2025-02-14 2025 UIC @ Valparaiso 51–60 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Belmont @ UIC 64–55 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Murray State @ UIC 70–79 regular
2025-02-01 2025 UIC @ Indiana State 58–53 regular
2025-01-31 2025 UIC @ Evansville 74–43 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Valparaiso @ UIC 45–60 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Illinois State @ UIC 75–66 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Bradley @ UIC 49–52 regular
2025-01-12 2025 UIC @ Murray State 60–67 regular
2025-01-10 2025 UIC @ Belmont 52–67 regular
2025-01-04 2025 UIC @ Northern Iowa 64–75 regular
2025-01-03 2025 UIC @ Drake 63–86 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Missouri State @ UIC 62–69 regular
2024-12-22 2025 Ohio @ UIC 45–91 regular
2024-12-20 2025 LSU @ UIC 91–73 regular
2024-12-14 2025 UIC @ DePaul 56–73 regular
2024-12-08 2025 North Central College @ UIC 53–113 non_d1
2024-12-01 2025 UIC @ St. Thomas 71–75 regular
2024-11-28 2025 UIC @ Northern Illinois 69–66 regular
2024-11-22 2025 UIC @ Wisconsin 57–61 regular
2024-11-14 2025 Green Bay @ UIC 74–71 regular
2024-11-06 2025 Cincinnati @ UIC 66–54 regular