cbb·system

Niagara Purple Eagles

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.33 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Niagara AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.65 to 1.24 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNiagara auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-07 2015 Niagara @ Fairfield N 57–65 conf_tournament
2015-03-05 2015 Manhattan @ Niagara N 51–57 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 Niagara @ Iona 53–81 regular
2015-02-24 2015 Niagara @ Canisius 59–65 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Rider @ Niagara 33–44 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Monmouth @ Niagara 81–69 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Niagara @ Marist 70–65 regular
2015-02-13 2015 Niagara @ Siena 64–59 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Fairfield @ Niagara 56–66 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Marist @ Niagara 75–66 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Niagara @ Manhattan 53–46 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Niagara @ Saint Peter's 58–65 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Iona @ Niagara 83–72 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Canisius @ Niagara 66–55 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Niagara @ Monmouth 59–45 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Niagara @ Rider 56–61 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Quinnipiac @ Niagara 71–68 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Siena @ Niagara 56–52 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Niagara @ Fairfield 66–64 regular
2015-01-02 2015 Niagara @ Quinnipiac 66–80 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara 60–78 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Dartmouth @ Niagara 76–70 regular
2014-12-20 2015 St. Bonaventure @ Niagara 72–60 regular
2014-12-18 2015 Niagara @ Cleveland State 76–58 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Manhattan @ Niagara 36–64 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Saint Peter's @ Niagara 40–73 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Detroit Mercy @ Niagara 49–71 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Niagara @ Binghamton 63–52 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Niagara @ Buffalo 64–73 regular
2014-11-18 2015 Niagara @ Pittsburgh 54–70 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Niagara @ Youngstown State 61–83 regular