cbb·system

Niagara Purple Eagles

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.23 points per possession 0.19
PACE 73.07 possessions per game 4.34

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Niagara AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.52 to 1.14 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201021 0.323

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNiagara auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-11 2020 Niagara @ Rider N 74–79 conf_tournament
2020-03-10 2020 Saint Peter's @ Niagara N 53–64 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Niagara @ Fairfield 49–71 regular
2020-03-06 2020 Quinnipiac @ Niagara 82–76 regular
2020-02-25 2020 Niagara @ Canisius 56–78 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Manhattan @ Niagara 75–61 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Monmouth @ Niagara 61–62 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Niagara @ Quinnipiac 61–71 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Niagara @ Saint Peter's 68–64 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Iona @ Niagara 70–58 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Fairfield @ Niagara 77–65 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Niagara @ Marist 57–82 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Niagara @ Siena 54–59 regular
2020-01-28 2020 Canisius @ Niagara 62–81 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Rider @ Niagara 71–55 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Saint Peter's @ Niagara 89–97 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Niagara @ Monmouth 73–70 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Niagara @ Iona 63–57 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Marist @ Niagara 94–67 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Siena @ Niagara 61–68 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Niagara @ Manhattan 65–68 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Niagara @ Rider 75–79 regular
2019-12-17 2020 Niagara @ Coppin State 82–67 regular
2019-12-14 2020 Niagara @ Howard 42–91 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Niagara @ Colgate 72–85 regular
2019-11-26 2020 Oakland @ Niagara 63–77 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Niagara @ Cornell 59–82 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Niagara @ Binghamton 55–74 regular
2019-11-13 2020 Niagara @ Rutgers 37–87 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Buffalo @ Niagara 81–67 regular
2019-11-08 2020 Niagara @ St. Bonaventure 67–71 regular