cbb·system

Niagara Purple Eagles

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.10 points per possession 0.19
PACE 75.11 possessions per game 4.29

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Niagara AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.48 to 1.12 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231813 0.581

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNiagara auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-17 2023 Niagara @ Green Bay 52–84 other_postseason
2023-03-10 2023 Manhattan @ Niagara N 81–68 conf_tournament
2023-03-08 2023 Rider @ Niagara N 64–67 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara 52–61 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Siena @ Niagara 62–86 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Niagara @ Marist 74–56 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Niagara @ Quinnipiac 63–58 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Fairfield @ Niagara 56–65 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Niagara @ Canisius 75–58 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Niagara @ Siena 81–83 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Niagara @ Saint Peter's 80–51 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Iona @ Niagara 61–54 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Niagara @ Mount St. Mary's 73–54 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Canisius @ Niagara 70–82 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Manhattan @ Niagara 70–74 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Niagara @ Rider 67–55 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Niagara @ Fairfield 70–62 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Saint Peter's @ Niagara 64–67 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Quinnipiac @ Niagara 64–67 regular
2023-01-02 2023 Niagara @ Iona 53–63 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Niagara @ Manhattan 66–62 regular
2022-12-19 2023 Rider @ Niagara 67–74 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Marist @ Niagara 63–55 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Buffalo @ Niagara 63–58 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Niagara @ St. Bonaventure 57–61 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Maine @ Niagara N 73–57 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Niagara @ Saint Mary's 59–73 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Niagara @ Northwestern 38–76 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Cleveland State @ Niagara canceled regular
2022-11-17 2023 Niagara @ Colgate 68–78 regular
2022-11-12 2023 La Salle @ Niagara 83–64 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Niagara @ Loyola Maryland 64–55 regular