cbb·system

Saint Mary's Gaels

mens WCC canonical name from espn_mbb #7 Round of 32 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.18 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.15
ME 0.24 points per possession 0.20
PACE 60.90 possessions per game 4.76

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Saint Mary's AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.61 to 1.39 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025296 0.829

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSaint Mary's auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-23 2025 Saint Mary's @ Alabama N 66–80 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-21 2025 Vanderbilt @ Saint Mary's N 56–59 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-12 2025 Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's N 58–51 conf_tournament
2025-03-11 2025 Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's N 59–74 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 Oregon State @ Saint Mary's 64–74 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount 58–55 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga 74–67 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Portland @ Saint Mary's 66–79 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Washington State @ Saint Mary's 56–77 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's 64–73 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Saint Mary's @ Oregon State 63–49 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Saint Mary's @ San Francisco 64–65 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's 58–62 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara 67–54 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Saint Mary's @ Washington State 80–75 regular
2025-01-24 2025 San Francisco @ Saint Mary's 51–71 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine 74–50 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Saint Mary's @ San Diego 103–56 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's 56–81 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Saint Mary's @ Portland 81–58 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's 41–71 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Pacific @ Saint Mary's 60–70 regular
2024-12-23 2025 Utah State @ Saint Mary's 75–68 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Merrimack @ Saint Mary's 68–73 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Saint Mary's @ Boise State N 65–67 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Saint Mary's @ Utah 72–63 regular
2024-12-04 2025 UTSA @ Saint Mary's 74–82 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Saint Mary's @ Arizona State N 64–68 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Saint Mary's @ USC N 71–36 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Cal Poly @ Saint Mary's 66–80 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Stanislaus State @ Saint Mary's 38–78 non_d1
2024-11-17 2025 Nebraska @ Saint Mary's N 74–77 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Akron @ Saint Mary's 68–87 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Chattanooga @ Saint Mary's 74–86 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Towson @ Saint Mary's 69–76 regular