cbb·system

Saint Mary's Gaels

mens WCC canonical name from espn_mbb #5 Round of 32 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.21 points per possession 0.19
PACE 62.51 possessions per game 4.77

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Saint Mary's AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 52.70 to 74.02 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022268 0.765

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSaint Mary's auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-19 2022 Saint Mary's @ UCLA N 56–72 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-17 2022 Indiana @ Saint Mary's N 53–82 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-09 2022 Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga N 69–82 conf_tournament
2022-03-08 2022 Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's N 72–75 conf_tournament
2022-02-27 2022 Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's 57–67 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Saint Mary's @ San Diego 60–46 regular
2022-02-20 2022 BYU @ Saint Mary's 64–69 regular
2022-02-18 2022 San Francisco @ Saint Mary's 64–69 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga 58–74 regular
2022-02-11 2022 San Diego @ Saint Mary's 57–86 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara 72–77 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's 60–71 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Saint Mary's @ Portland 75–54 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's 57–81 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Saint Mary's @ San Francisco 72–70 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount 83–51 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's 65–73 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Pacific @ Saint Mary's canceled regular
2022-01-14 2022 Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine 77–62 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Saint Mary's @ BYU 43–52 regular
2022-01-07 2022 Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara scheduled regular
2022-01-02 2022 San Francisco @ Saint Mary's scheduled regular
2021-12-29 2022 Yale @ Saint Mary's 60–87 regular
2021-12-23 2022 Missouri State @ Saint Mary's 58–75 regular
2021-12-18 2022 San Diego State @ Saint Mary's N 63–53 regular
2021-12-15 2022 Stanislaus State @ Saint Mary's 39–76 non_d1
2021-12-11 2022 UC Santa Barbara @ Saint Mary's 59–80 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Saint Mary's @ Colorado State 58–74 regular
2021-12-03 2022 Saint Mary's @ Utah State 60–58 regular
2021-11-30 2022 UC Riverside @ Saint Mary's 50–67 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Wisconsin @ Saint Mary's N 61–55 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Oregon @ Saint Mary's N 50–62 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Saint Mary's @ Notre Dame N 62–59 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Bellarmine @ Saint Mary's 64–73 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Southern Utah @ Saint Mary's 51–70 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Texas Southern @ Saint Mary's 58–67 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Prairie View A&M @ Saint Mary's 68–87 regular