cbb·system

Saint Mary's Gaels

mens WCC canonical name from espn_mbb #5 Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.24 points per possession 0.19
PACE 61.75 possessions per game 4.61

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Saint Mary's AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 51.77 to 73.34 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023278 0.771

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSaint Mary's auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Saint Mary's @ UConn N 55–70 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-17 2023 VCU @ Saint Mary's N 51–63 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-08 2023 Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's N 77–51 conf_tournament
2023-03-07 2023 BYU @ Saint Mary's N 69–76 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga 68–77 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Pacific @ Saint Mary's 52–83 regular
2023-02-19 2023 BYU @ Saint Mary's 65–71 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Saint Mary's @ San Diego 62–59 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Saint Mary's @ Portland 81–64 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount 74–78 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's 70–78 regular
2023-02-03 2023 San Francisco @ Saint Mary's 59–68 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Saint Mary's @ BYU 57–56 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's 58–77 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine 73–44 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Saint Mary's @ San Francisco 78–61 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's 62–76 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Portland @ Saint Mary's 43–85 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Academy of Art @ Saint Mary's 64–84 non_d1
2023-01-01 2023 Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara 67–64 regular
2022-12-30 2023 San Diego @ Saint Mary's 58–85 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Saint Mary's @ Wyoming N 66–54 regular
2022-12-19 2023 Colorado State @ Saint Mary's 62–60 regular
2022-12-15 2023 New Mexico State @ Saint Mary's 68–81 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Saint Mary's @ San Diego State N 68–61 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Missouri State @ Saint Mary's 46–66 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Saint Mary's @ Houston N 48–53 regular
2022-12-01 2023 New Mexico @ Saint Mary's 69–65 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Washington @ Saint Mary's N 68–64 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Saint Mary's @ Vanderbilt N 75–65 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Hofstra @ Saint Mary's 48–76 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Southern @ Saint Mary's 54–72 regular
2022-11-14 2023 North Texas @ Saint Mary's 33–63 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Vermont @ Saint Mary's 53–79 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Oral Roberts @ Saint Mary's 70–78 regular