cbb·system

Drake Bulldogs

mens MVC canonical name from espn_mbb #11 Round of 32 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.16 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.19
PACE 59.11 possessions per game 4.86

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Drake AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.81 to 1.42 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025314 0.886

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdDrake auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-22 2025 Drake @ Texas Tech N 64–77 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-20 2025 Drake @ Missouri N 67–57 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-09 2025 Bradley @ Drake N 48–63 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Belmont @ Drake N 50–57 conf_tournament
2025-03-07 2025 Southern Illinois @ Drake N 53–70 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 Missouri State @ Drake 60–68 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Drake @ Evansville 65–61 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Drake @ Northern Iowa 64–58 regular
2025-02-20 2025 UIC @ Drake 57–74 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Bradley @ Drake 61–59 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Drake @ Illinois State 84–77 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Indiana State @ Drake 81–85 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Drake @ Murray State 55–45 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Drake @ Southern Illinois 75–65 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Northern Iowa @ Drake 52–66 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Drake @ Missouri State 69–62 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Valparaiso @ Drake 71–81 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Drake @ Indiana State 71–53 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Illinois State @ Drake 62–66 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Evansville @ Drake 40–63 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Drake @ Bradley 64–57 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Murray State @ Drake 66–59 regular
2025-01-01 2025 Drake @ UIC 70–74 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Belmont @ Drake 46–65 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Green Bay @ Drake 62–72 regular
2024-12-18 2025 Drake @ Kansas State 73–70 regular
2024-12-13 2025 St. Ambrose @ Drake 35–90 non_d1
2024-12-06 2025 Drake @ Valparaiso 66–60 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Georgia Southern @ Drake 47–61 regular
2024-11-25 2025 Drake @ Vanderbilt N 81–70 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Drake @ Florida Atlantic N 75–63 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Miami @ Drake N 69–80 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Florida Gulf Coast @ Drake 61–63 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Stephen F. Austin @ Drake 51–66 regular
2024-11-05 2025 York College Nebraska @ Drake 41–93 non_d1