cbb·system

Arkansas State Red Wolves

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.88 possessions per game 4.43

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arkansas State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.72 to 1.29 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231319 0.406

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArkansas State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-03 2023 Arkansas State @ Southern Miss N 72–79 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern N 81–76 conf_tournament
2023-02-28 2023 UL Monroe @ Arkansas State N 65–76 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Texas State @ Arkansas State 86–79 regular
2023-02-23 2023 UL Monroe @ Arkansas State 73–98 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Louisiana @ Arkansas State 59–69 regular
2023-02-16 2023 South Alabama @ Arkansas State 58–78 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Arkansas State @ James Madison 57–70 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Arkansas State @ Troy 98–92 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Old Dominion @ Arkansas State 87–75 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina 69–65 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Marshall @ Arkansas State 71–59 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Southern Miss @ Arkansas State 68–59 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Arkansas State @ Louisiana 48–49 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Arkansas State @ South Alabama 63–47 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Arkansas State @ Texas State 55–89 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Arkansas State @ Southern Miss 36–61 regular
2023-01-07 2023 App State @ Arkansas State 59–58 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Troy @ Arkansas State 83–67 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern 86–99 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Arkansas State @ UL Monroe 66–81 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Arkansas State @ Little Rock 44–60 regular
2022-12-16 2023 Grambling @ Arkansas State 66–79 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Arkansas State @ Arkansas 63–77 regular
2022-12-09 2023 Arkansas State @ North Alabama 68–82 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Arkansas State @ McNeese 102–83 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Kansas City @ Arkansas State 68–79 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Oklahoma @ Arkansas State 95–70 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Utah State @ Arkansas State 57–63 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Hendrix @ Arkansas State 50–95 non_d1
2022-11-15 2023 Arkansas State @ UT Martin 54–73 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Arkansas State @ Louisiana Tech 56–59 regular