cbb·system

Arkansas State Red Wolves

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.16
PACE 67.68 possessions per game 4.93

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arkansas State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.72 to 1.23 over 112 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142212 0.647

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArkansas State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-22 2014 Arkansas State @ UTEP 64–74 other_postseason
2014-03-16 2014 Western Kentucky @ Arkansas State N 61–60 conf_tournament
2014-03-14 2014 Texas State @ Arkansas State N 48–59 conf_tournament
2014-03-12 2014 UL Monroe @ Arkansas State N 69–78 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Louisiana @ Arkansas State 49–90 regular
2014-03-06 2014 UL Monroe @ Arkansas State 57–107 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Arkansas State @ Little Rock 55–64 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Texas State @ Arkansas State 55–74 regular
2014-02-20 2014 UT Arlington @ Arkansas State 47–73 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Arkansas State @ Louisiana 76–77 regular
2014-02-12 2014 Arkansas State @ South Alabama 71–58 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Arkansas State @ Georgia State 80–75 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Western Kentucky @ Arkansas State 75–78 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Arkansas State @ Troy 65–83 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Arkansas State @ UL Monroe 80–68 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Little Rock @ Arkansas State 45–77 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Arkansas State @ Western Kentucky 67–64 regular
2014-01-15 2014 Georgia State @ Arkansas State 76–74 regular
2014-01-11 2014 South Alabama @ Arkansas State 60–73 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Troy @ Arkansas State 65–74 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Arkansas State @ Texas State 87–71 regular
2014-01-02 2014 Arkansas State @ UT Arlington 66–62 regular
2013-12-31 2014 Arkansas State @ Texas A&M 62–80 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Arkansas State @ Central Arkansas 73–61 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Tennessee Tech @ Arkansas State 75–90 regular
2013-12-13 2014 Arkansas State @ Wichita State 47–66 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Arkansas State @ Arizona State N 66–69 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Illinois @ Arkansas State N 70–54 regular
2013-11-28 2014 Arkansas State @ North Carolina N 60–93 regular
2013-11-26 2014 Arkansas State @ Louisiana Tech 91–68 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Kent State @ Arkansas State 61–92 regular
2013-11-20 2014 UT Martin @ Arkansas State 75–66 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Arkansas State @ Austin Peay 79–69 regular
2013-11-12 2014 Missouri State @ Arkansas State 61–79 regular