Arkansas State Red Wolves
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2018
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.91 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.00 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.09 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 71.28 | possessions per game | 4.71 |
At season 2018's latest cutoff
(2018-04-01 22:00),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018.
Axis spans 0.64 to 1.18 over
123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2018
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 15 | 15 | 0.500 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Arkansas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-06 | 2018 | App State @ Arkansas State N | 79–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-03-03 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ UL Monroe | 80–73 | regular |
| 2018-03-01 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 53–60 | regular |
| 2018-02-24 | 2018 | Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State | 73–65 | regular |
| 2018-02-22 | 2018 | App State @ Arkansas State | 52–69 | regular |
| 2018-02-17 | 2018 | Little Rock @ Arkansas State | 64–58 | regular |
| 2018-02-10 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ South Alabama | 75–60 | regular |
| 2018-02-08 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Troy | 78–95 | regular |
| 2018-02-03 | 2018 | Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State | 48–69 | regular |
| 2018-02-01 | 2018 | Georgia State @ Arkansas State | 63–76 | regular |
| 2018-01-27 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ App State | 66–68 | regular |
| 2018-01-25 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina | 70–63 | regular |
| 2018-01-20 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Little Rock | 43–53 | regular |
| 2018-01-13 | 2018 | UT Arlington @ Arkansas State | 80–85 | regular |
| 2018-01-11 | 2018 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 67–55 | regular |
| 2018-01-06 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Georgia State | 75–58 | regular |
| 2018-01-04 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern | 71–62 | regular |
| 2017-12-31 | 2018 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State | 77–75 | regular |
| 2017-12-29 | 2018 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State | 62–76 | regular |
| 2017-12-22 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Tulsa | 58–68 | regular |
| 2017-12-16 | 2018 | Grambling @ Arkansas State | 56–76 | regular |
| 2017-12-14 | 2018 | Belmont @ Arkansas State | 83–52 | regular |
| 2017-12-05 | 2018 | UTEP @ Arkansas State | 73–76 | regular |
| 2017-12-02 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Ole Miss | 48–74 | regular |
| 2017-12-01 | 2018 | Tennessee State @ Arkansas State | 62–68 | regular |
| 2017-11-25 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Pittsburgh | 47–87 | regular |
| 2017-11-22 | 2018 | UT Martin @ Arkansas State | 73–84 | regular |
| 2017-11-18 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ South Florida | 55–98 | regular |
| 2017-11-15 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Florida | 70–69 | regular |
| 2017-11-11 | 2018 | Arkansas State @ Indiana | 51–93 | regular |