Arkansas State Red Wolves
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.98 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.87 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.11 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 74.09 | possessions per game | 4.36 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-05 19:30),
with 36 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 0.67 to 1.27 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 10 | 0.730 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Arkansas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | 2026 | Marshall @ Arkansas State | 69–62 | other_postseason |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026 | Cleveland State @ Arkansas State | 53–71 | other_postseason |
| 2026-03-27 | 2026 | Purdue Fort Wayne @ Arkansas State | 72–83 | other_postseason |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026 | Radford @ Arkansas State | 52–83 | other_postseason |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Troy N | 73–83 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State N | 68–76 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 53–87 | regular |
| 2026-02-24 | 2026 | Troy @ Arkansas State | 61–54 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 92–66 | regular |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 75–61 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Marshall | 54–62 | regular |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern | 60–69 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Eastern Michigan | 73–76 | regular |
| 2026-02-05 | 2026 | Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State | 70–78 | regular |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Georgia State | 69–61 | regular |
| 2026-01-25 | 2026 | James Madison @ Arkansas State | 67–74 | regular |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026 | Old Dominion @ Arkansas State | 55–84 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Southern Miss @ Arkansas State | 71–81 | regular |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State | 34–75 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Troy | 64–86 | regular |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ South Alabama | 107–67 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ UL Monroe | 89–71 | regular |
| 2026-01-02 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Southern Miss | 91–83 | regular |
| 2025-12-28 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Arkansas | 81–72 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | South Alabama @ Arkansas State | 61–74 | regular |
| 2025-12-18 | 2026 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State | 58–79 | regular |
| 2025-12-10 | 2026 | Southern Arkansas @ Arkansas State | 46–97 | non_d1 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | UT Martin @ Arkansas State | 66–78 | regular |
| 2025-12-04 | 2026 | Florida Gulf Coast @ Arkansas State | 58–68 | regular |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Kent State N | 74–54 | regular |
| 2025-11-28 | 2026 | Houston @ Arkansas State N | 66–83 | regular |
| 2025-11-23 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Jackson State | 75–69 | regular |
| 2025-11-20 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Central Arkansas | 58–81 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Little Rock @ Arkansas State | 67–76 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Missouri | 75–97 | regular |
| 2025-11-07 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Tarleton State | 87–77 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Ball State @ Arkansas State | 68–66 | regular |