cbb·system

South Florida Bulls

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.81 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.22 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.47 possessions per game 4.77

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

South Florida AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 55.18 to 156.47 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201913 0.594

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouth Florida auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-08 2020 South Florida @ UConn N 38–79 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Tulane @ South Florida N 50–64 conf_tournament
2020-03-03 2020 South Florida @ UConn 39–80 regular
2020-03-01 2020 SMU @ South Florida 62–85 regular
2020-02-26 2020 East Carolina @ South Florida 52–81 regular
2020-02-22 2020 South Florida @ Memphis 68–47 regular
2020-02-19 2020 South Florida @ UCF 48–56 regular
2020-02-16 2020 UConn @ South Florida 67–47 regular
2020-02-14 2020 South Florida @ Tulane 53–43 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Temple @ South Florida 51–99 regular
2020-02-02 2020 South Florida @ Cincinnati 55–60 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Houston @ South Florida 45–74 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Tulane @ South Florida 56–63 regular
2020-01-23 2020 South Florida @ Wichita State 56–50 regular
2020-01-19 2020 UCF @ South Florida 64–57 regular
2020-01-17 2020 South Florida @ Temple 66–69 regular
2020-01-12 2020 South Florida @ Tulsa 68–52 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Cincinnati @ South Florida 68–76 regular
2019-12-30 2020 Brown @ South Florida 60–70 regular
2019-12-21 2020 UNLV @ South Florida 61–51 regular
2019-12-20 2020 South Florida @ Mississippi State N 61–86 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Idaho @ South Florida 64–67 regular
2019-12-06 2020 Alabama State @ South Florida 29–80 regular
2019-11-30 2020 South Florida @ Notre Dame N 51–67 regular
2019-11-29 2020 South Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast N 77–81 regular
2019-11-28 2020 South Dakota State @ South Florida N 61–50 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Saint Francis @ South Florida 23–62 regular
2019-11-20 2020 South Florida @ Baylor 46–58 regular
2019-11-15 2020 VCU @ South Florida 55–77 regular
2019-11-13 2020 Howard @ South Florida 53–82 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Texas @ South Florida 57–64 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Jacksonville @ South Florida 39–70 regular