cbb·system

South Florida Bulls

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2021

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.23 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.45 possessions per game 5.45

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

South Florida AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 53.51 to 142.58 over 102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021194 0.826

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouth Florida auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-23 2021 South Florida @ NC State N 67–79 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-22 2021 Washington State @ South Florida N 53–57 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-12 2021 UCF @ South Florida N 54–64 conf_tournament
2021-03-10 2021 Tulane @ South Florida N 47–51 conf_tournament
2021-03-09 2021 Wichita State @ South Florida N 44–48 conf_tournament
2021-03-04 2021 South Florida @ UCF 45–58 regular
2021-03-02 2021 UCF @ South Florida 62–65 regular
2021-02-27 2021 South Florida @ Houston 49–67 regular
2021-02-24 2021 South Florida @ Temple 56–47 regular
2021-02-21 2021 Tulane @ South Florida 69–78 regular
2021-02-18 2021 Cincinnati @ South Florida 65–69 regular
2021-02-13 2021 Tulsa @ South Florida 46–67 regular
2021-02-10 2021 South Florida @ East Carolina canceled regular
2021-02-07 2021 South Florida @ UCF postponed regular
2021-02-03 2021 South Florida @ SMU canceled regular
2021-01-30 2021 Cincinnati @ South Florida postponed regular
2021-01-27 2021 Temple @ South Florida canceled regular
2021-01-23 2021 South Florida @ East Carolina postponed regular
2021-01-21 2021 South Florida @ Wichita State canceled regular
2021-01-17 2021 Memphis @ South Florida canceled regular
2021-01-14 2021 South Florida @ Tulane 72–53 regular
2021-01-10 2021 Houston @ South Florida 51–80 regular
2021-01-07 2021 Wichita State @ South Florida 48–66 regular
2021-01-02 2021 East Carolina @ South Florida 58–71 regular
2020-12-31 2021 South Florida @ Tulsa 63–35 regular
2020-12-22 2021 South Florida @ Cincinnati 73–61 regular
2020-12-20 2021 Houston @ South Florida postponed regular
2020-12-16 2021 South Florida @ Memphis 65–58 regular
2020-12-13 2021 Stetson @ South Florida 43–85 regular
2020-12-06 2021 Mississippi State @ South Florida 63–67 regular
2020-12-02 2021 Baylor @ South Florida 67–62 regular
2020-11-28 2021 Jacksonville @ South Florida 46–84 regular