cbb·system

Michigan Wolverines

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.26 possessions per game 4.26

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Michigan AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 58.76 to 77.92 over 70 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231816 0.529

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMichigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-18 2023 Michigan @ Vanderbilt 65–66 nit
2023-03-14 2023 Toledo @ Michigan 80–90 nit
2023-03-09 2023 Rutgers @ Michigan N 62–50 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Michigan @ Indiana 73–75 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Michigan @ Illinois 87–91 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Wisconsin @ Michigan 79–87 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Michigan @ Rutgers 58–45 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Michigan State @ Michigan 72–84 regular
2023-02-15 2023 Michigan @ Wisconsin 59–64 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Indiana @ Michigan 62–61 regular
2023-02-08 2023 Nebraska @ Michigan 72–93 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Ohio State @ Michigan 69–77 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Michigan @ Northwestern 68–51 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Michigan @ Penn State 61–83 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Purdue @ Michigan 75–70 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Minnesota @ Michigan 56–60 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Michigan @ Maryland 58–64 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Northwestern @ Michigan 78–85 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Michigan @ Iowa 84–93 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Michigan @ Michigan State 53–59 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Penn State @ Michigan 69–79 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Maryland @ Michigan 46–81 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Central Michigan @ Michigan 63–61 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Michigan @ North Carolina N 76–80 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Lipscomb @ Michigan 75–83 regular
2022-12-09 2023 Michigan @ Minnesota 90–75 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Michigan @ Kentucky N 69–73 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Virginia @ Michigan 70–68 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Jackson State @ Michigan 68–78 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Ohio @ Michigan 66–70 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Michigan @ Arizona State N 62–87 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Michigan @ Pittsburgh N 91–60 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Eastern Michigan @ Michigan N 83–88 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Michigan 56–75 regular