Michigan Wolverines
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#5 Sweet 16 (out) 2025
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.20 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.26 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 68.89 | possessions per game | 4.30 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 37 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 59.06 to 79.55 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27 | 10 | 0.730 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Michigan | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | 2025 | Michigan @ Auburn N | 65–78 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-22 | 2025 | Michigan @ Texas A&M N | 91–79 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-21 | 2025 | UC San Diego @ Michigan N | 65–68 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-16 | 2025 | Wisconsin @ Michigan N | 53–59 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-15 | 2025 | Michigan @ Maryland N | 81–80 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-15 | 2025 | Purdue @ Michigan N | 68–86 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-09 | 2025 | Michigan @ Michigan State | 62–79 | regular |
| 2025-03-05 | 2025 | Maryland @ Michigan | 71–65 | regular |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Illinois @ Michigan | 93–73 | regular |
| 2025-02-28 | 2025 | Rutgers @ Michigan | 82–84 | regular |
| 2025-02-25 | 2025 | Michigan @ Nebraska | 49–46 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Michigan | 75–62 | regular |
| 2025-02-16 | 2025 | Michigan @ Ohio State | 86–83 | regular |
| 2025-02-12 | 2025 | Purdue @ Michigan | 73–75 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Michigan @ Indiana | 70–67 | regular |
| 2025-02-05 | 2025 | Oregon @ Michigan | 76–80 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Michigan @ Rutgers | 66–63 | regular |
| 2025-01-27 | 2025 | Penn State @ Michigan | 72–76 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Michigan @ Purdue | 64–91 | regular |
| 2025-01-19 | 2025 | Northwestern @ Michigan | 76–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-17 | 2025 | Michigan @ Minnesota | 81–84 | regular |
| 2025-01-12 | 2025 | Washington @ Michigan | 75–91 | regular |
| 2025-01-08 | 2025 | Michigan @ UCLA | 94–75 | regular |
| 2025-01-05 | 2025 | Michigan @ USC | 85–74 | regular |
| 2024-12-30 | 2025 | Western Kentucky @ Michigan | 64–112 | regular |
| 2024-12-22 | 2025 | Purdue Fort Wayne @ Michigan | 58–89 | regular |
| 2024-12-19 | 2025 | Michigan @ Oklahoma N | 86–87 | regular |
| 2024-12-11 | 2025 | Michigan @ Arkansas N | 87–89 | regular |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | Iowa @ Michigan | 83–85 | regular |
| 2024-12-04 | 2025 | Michigan @ Wisconsin | 67–64 | regular |
| 2024-11-28 | 2025 | Xavier @ Michigan N | 53–78 | regular |
| 2024-11-25 | 2025 | Michigan @ Virginia Tech N | 75–63 | regular |
| 2024-11-22 | 2025 | Tarleton State @ Michigan | 49–72 | regular |
| 2024-11-18 | 2025 | Miami (OH) @ Michigan | 67–94 | regular |
| 2024-11-15 | 2025 | TCU @ Michigan | 64–76 | regular |
| 2024-11-10 | 2025 | Michigan @ Wake Forest N | 70–72 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Cleveland State @ Michigan | 53–101 | regular |