Michigan Wolverines
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#1 Champion 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.34 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.89 | points per possession | 0.15 |
| ME | 0.45 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 70.00 | possessions per game | 4.37 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 39 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 60.49 to 82.24 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 3 | 0.925 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Michigan | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | 2026 | UConn @ Michigan N | 63–69 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-04-05 | 2026 | Michigan @ Arizona N | 91–73 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-29 | 2026 | Tennessee @ Michigan N | 62–95 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-27 | 2026 | Alabama @ Michigan N | 77–90 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-21 | 2026 | Saint Louis @ Michigan N | 72–95 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-19 | 2026 | Howard @ Michigan N | 80–101 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-15 | 2026 | Purdue @ Michigan N | 80–72 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026 | Wisconsin @ Michigan N | 65–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026 | Ohio State @ Michigan N | 67–71 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Michigan | 80–90 | regular |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026 | Michigan @ Iowa | 71–68 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Michigan @ Illinois | 84–70 | regular |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026 | Minnesota @ Michigan | 67–77 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Michigan @ Duke N | 63–68 | regular |
| 2026-02-17 | 2026 | Michigan @ Purdue | 91–80 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | UCLA @ Michigan | 56–86 | regular |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026 | Michigan @ Northwestern | 87–75 | regular |
| 2026-02-08 | 2026 | Michigan @ Ohio State | 82–61 | regular |
| 2026-02-05 | 2026 | Penn State @ Michigan | 69–110 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Michigan @ Michigan State | 83–71 | regular |
| 2026-01-28 | 2026 | Nebraska @ Michigan | 72–75 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Ohio State @ Michigan | 62–74 | regular |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026 | Indiana @ Michigan | 72–86 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Michigan @ Oregon | 81–71 | regular |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026 | Michigan @ Washington | 82–72 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Wisconsin @ Michigan | 91–88 | regular |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026 | Michigan @ Penn State | 74–72 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | USC @ Michigan | 66–96 | regular |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026 | McNeese @ Michigan | 71–112 | regular |
| 2025-12-21 | 2026 | La Salle @ Michigan | 50–102 | regular |
| 2025-12-14 | 2026 | Michigan @ Maryland | 101–83 | regular |
| 2025-12-09 | 2026 | Villanova @ Michigan | 61–89 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | Rutgers @ Michigan | 60–101 | regular |
| 2025-11-27 | 2026 | Gonzaga @ Michigan N | 61–101 | regular |
| 2025-11-26 | 2026 | Auburn @ Michigan N | 72–102 | regular |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | San Diego State @ Michigan N | 54–94 | regular |
| 2025-11-19 | 2026 | Middle Tennessee @ Michigan | 61–86 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Michigan @ TCU | 67–63 | regular |
| 2025-11-11 | 2026 | Wake Forest @ Michigan N | 84–85 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Oakland @ Michigan | 78–121 | regular |