Michigan Wolverines
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 32 (out) 2025
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.15 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.79 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.36 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 69.87 | possessions per game | 4.76 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-06 19:00),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.82 to 1.43 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | 11 | 0.676 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Michigan | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-23 | 2025 | Michigan @ Notre Dame | 55–76 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-21 | 2025 | Iowa State @ Michigan N | 74–80 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | Michigan @ USC N | 70–82 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-07 | 2025 | Michigan @ Maryland N | 98–71 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-06 | 2025 | Washington @ Michigan N | 58–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Michigan @ Illinois | 78–69 | regular |
| 2025-02-27 | 2025 | Iowa @ Michigan | 79–66 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Penn State @ Michigan | 68–78 | regular |
| 2025-02-17 | 2025 | Michigan @ Maryland | 77–85 | regular |
| 2025-02-13 | 2025 | Indiana @ Michigan | 67–70 | regular |
| 2025-02-09 | 2025 | Michigan @ Michigan State | 71–61 | regular |
| 2025-02-07 | 2025 | Michigan @ Nebraska | 78–60 | regular |
| 2025-02-02 | 2025 | Oregon @ Michigan | 48–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-30 | 2025 | Michigan @ Wisconsin | 75–82 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Michigan | 88–58 | regular |
| 2025-01-23 | 2025 | Michigan @ Minnesota | 70–65 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Rutgers @ Michigan | 71–87 | regular |
| 2025-01-16 | 2025 | Washington @ Michigan | 69–82 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | Michigan @ Purdue | 87–60 | regular |
| 2025-01-09 | 2025 | Ohio State @ Michigan | 84–77 | regular |
| 2025-01-01 | 2025 | Michigan @ UCLA | 70–86 | regular |
| 2024-12-30 | 2025 | Michigan @ USC | 58–78 | regular |
| 2024-12-20 | 2025 | Michigan @ Akron | 96–55 | regular |
| 2024-12-18 | 2025 | Michigan @ Oklahoma N | 62–72 | regular |
| 2024-12-14 | 2025 | Detroit Mercy @ Michigan | 54–100 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | Northwestern @ Michigan | 54–60 | regular |
| 2024-12-01 | 2025 | Michigan @ Virginia Tech N | 76–65 | regular |
| 2024-11-29 | 2025 | Michigan @ Belmont N | 68–58 | regular |
| 2024-11-24 | 2025 | Long Beach State @ Michigan | 56–111 | regular |
| 2024-11-20 | 2025 | Long Island University @ Michigan | 31–96 | regular |
| 2024-11-17 | 2025 | Oakland @ Michigan | 42–88 | regular |
| 2024-11-15 | 2025 | Central Michigan @ Michigan | 62–99 | regular |
| 2024-11-09 | 2025 | Lehigh @ Michigan | 55–86 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Michigan @ South Carolina N | 62–68 | regular |