cbb·system

Michigan Wolverines

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Elite 8 (out) 2026

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.19 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.70 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.48 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.05 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.93 to 1.55 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026287 0.800

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-30 2026 Michigan @ Texas N 41–77 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-28 2026 Louisville @ Michigan N 52–71 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-22 2026 NC State @ Michigan 63–92 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-20 2026 Holy Cross @ Michigan 48–83 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 Michigan @ Iowa N 42–59 conf_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 Oregon @ Michigan N 58–80 conf_tournament
2026-02-28 2026 Maryland @ Michigan 69–87 regular
2026-02-26 2026 Michigan @ Ohio State 88–86 regular
2026-02-22 2026 Michigan @ Iowa 44–62 regular
2026-02-15 2026 Michigan State @ Michigan 65–86 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Michigan @ Northwestern 80–58 regular
2026-02-08 2026 UCLA @ Michigan 69–66 regular
2026-02-05 2026 Nebraska @ Michigan 76–88 regular
2026-02-01 2026 Michigan @ Michigan State 94–91 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Michigan @ Indiana 95–67 regular
2026-01-25 2026 USC @ Michigan 67–73 regular
2026-01-22 2026 Michigan @ Rutgers 94–60 regular
2026-01-19 2026 Michigan @ Vanderbilt N 69–72 regular
2026-01-16 2026 Illinois @ Michigan 69–85 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Wisconsin @ Michigan 60–86 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Michigan @ Penn State 105–65 regular
2026-01-05 2026 Minnesota @ Michigan 60–70 regular
2026-01-01 2026 Michigan @ Washington 52–64 regular
2025-12-30 2026 Michigan @ Oregon 92–87 regular
2025-12-21 2026 Oakland @ Michigan 54–97 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Akron @ Michigan 59–85 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Purdue @ Michigan 56–104 regular
2025-12-04 2026 Central Michigan @ Michigan 40–82 regular
2025-11-26 2026 Michigan @ Detroit Mercy 102–53 regular
2025-11-23 2026 Syracuse @ Michigan N 55–81 regular
2025-11-22 2026 Michigan @ UConn N 69–72 regular
2025-11-19 2026 Binghamton @ Michigan 50–120 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Michigan @ Notre Dame N 93–54 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Harvard @ Michigan 55–84 regular
2025-11-05 2026 Canisius @ Michigan 40–100 regular