cbb·system

Michigan Wolverines

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.16
PACE 63.49 possessions per game 5.15

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 52.02 to 162.15 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142014 0.588

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-27 2014 Michigan @ Bowling Green 53–63 other_postseason
2014-03-24 2014 Duquesne @ Michigan 52–68 other_postseason
2014-03-21 2014 Stony Brook @ Michigan 48–86 other_postseason
2014-03-07 2014 Michigan @ Michigan State N 58–61 conf_tournament
2014-03-06 2014 Indiana @ Michigan N 57–82 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 Michigan @ Penn State 62–77 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Iowa @ Michigan 74–70 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Michigan @ Indiana 70–58 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Michigan @ Illinois 70–63 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Nebraska @ Michigan 76–68 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Purdue @ Michigan 65–56 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Michigan @ Northwestern 70–68 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Minnesota @ Michigan 85–69 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Michigan @ Nebraska 51–84 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Michigan @ Wisconsin 60–44 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Ohio State @ Michigan 61–50 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Illinois @ Michigan 60–69 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Michigan @ Purdue 65–49 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Michigan State @ Michigan 79–72 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Wisconsin @ Michigan 62–70 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Michigan @ Ohio State 64–49 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Alcorn State @ Michigan 31–76 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Southern @ Michigan 59–83 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Notre Dame @ Michigan 86–64 regular
2013-12-12 2014 Eastern Michigan @ Michigan 75–89 regular
2013-12-06 2014 Michigan @ Virginia 73–53 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Michigan @ LSU N 62–64 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Texas Tech @ Michigan N 71–82 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Pittsburgh @ Michigan 75–83 regular
2013-11-19 2014 Michigan @ Western Michigan 73–45 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Michigan @ Detroit Mercy 83–63 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Xavier @ Michigan 79–75 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Michigan @ Arizona N 73–71 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Bowling Green @ Michigan N 63–52 regular