cbb·system

Michigan Wolverines

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.31 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.47 possessions per game 4.92

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 56.85 to 79.14 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20182310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-19 2018 Michigan @ Baylor N 58–80 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-16 2018 Northern Colorado @ Michigan N 61–75 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Michigan @ Nebraska N 54–61 conf_tournament
2018-03-02 2018 Penn State @ Michigan N 48–77 conf_tournament
2018-02-22 2018 Maryland @ Michigan 65–71 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Michigan @ Minnesota 87–93 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Michigan @ Michigan State 61–66 regular
2018-02-09 2018 Northwestern @ Michigan 63–84 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Michigan @ Rutgers 56–63 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Purdue @ Michigan 81–79 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Michigan @ Northwestern 80–59 regular
2018-01-24 2018 Michigan State @ Michigan 48–74 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Illinois @ Michigan 42–86 regular
2018-01-17 2018 Michigan @ Ohio State 84–75 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Michigan @ Nebraska 69–64 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Indiana @ Michigan 79–84 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Ohio State @ Michigan 78–71 regular
2018-01-05 2018 Michigan @ Wisconsin 80–57 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Michigan @ Iowa 72–82 regular
2017-12-28 2018 Penn State @ Michigan 69–89 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Delaware State @ Michigan 36–105 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Michigan 45–77 regular
2017-12-13 2018 North Florida @ Michigan 34–79 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Kent State @ Michigan 41–54 regular
2017-12-08 2018 Marquette @ Michigan 76–82 regular
2017-12-05 2018 Michigan @ Detroit Mercy 86–50 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Michigan @ LIU Brooklyn 86–49 regular
2017-11-29 2018 Notre Dame @ Michigan 83–63 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Michigan @ Ohio 74–61 regular
2017-11-23 2018 Oakland @ Michigan 69–78 regular
2017-11-17 2018 Michigan @ Louisville 49–74 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Liberty @ Michigan 50–74 regular
2017-11-11 2018 George Mason @ Michigan 61–75 regular