cbb·system

Michigan Wolverines

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2019

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.81 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.06 possessions per game 4.85

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans 59.28 to 83.39 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192212 0.647

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-24 2019 Michigan @ Louisville 50–71 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-22 2019 Kansas State @ Michigan N 54–84 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Michigan @ Maryland N 72–73 conf_tournament
2019-03-08 2019 Wisconsin @ Michigan N 65–73 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 Wisconsin @ Michigan 49–59 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Michigan @ Michigan State 64–74 regular
2019-02-22 2019 Rutgers @ Michigan 76–86 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Michigan @ Illinois 70–56 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Indiana @ Michigan 58–67 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Michigan @ Penn State 66–62 regular
2019-02-08 2019 Nebraska @ Michigan 61–67 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Michigan @ Wisconsin 76–70 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Iowa @ Michigan 81–90 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Iowa @ Michigan postponed regular
2019-01-27 2019 Michigan State @ Michigan 77–73 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Michigan @ Indiana 60–70 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Ohio State @ Michigan 58–62 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Michigan @ Iowa 61–75 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Michigan @ Maryland 69–83 regular
2019-01-09 2019 Northwestern @ Michigan 78–79 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Michigan @ Purdue 70–71 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Minnesota @ Michigan 60–76 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Michigan @ Nebraska 56–70 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Southern @ Michigan 35–76 regular
2018-12-15 2019 Morgan State @ Michigan 47–70 regular
2018-12-09 2019 Michigan @ Oakland 85–59 regular
2018-12-07 2019 LIU Brooklyn @ Michigan 38–83 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Michigan @ Marquette 74–85 regular
2018-11-30 2019 Michigan @ NC State 55–66 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Michigan @ Washington N 80–73 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Michigan @ Texas N 52–69 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Michigan @ Missouri N 70–54 regular
2018-11-20 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Michigan 62–95 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Michigan @ Western Michigan 79–42 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Mount St. Mary's @ Michigan 40–88 regular