cbb·system

Michigan Wolverines

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Elite 8 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.77 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.33 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.48 possessions per game 4.33

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 59.15 to 158.40 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022257 0.781

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-29 2022 Michigan @ Louisville N 50–62 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-26 2022 South Dakota @ Michigan N 49–52 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-21 2022 Villanova @ Michigan 49–64 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-19 2022 American University @ Michigan 39–74 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Nebraska @ Michigan N 76–73 conf_tournament
2022-02-27 2022 Michigan @ Iowa 80–104 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Michigan State @ Michigan 51–62 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Maryland @ Michigan 59–71 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Michigan @ Northwestern 69–71 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Michigan @ Michigan State 57–63 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Iowa @ Michigan 90–98 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Michigan @ Illinois postponed regular
2022-02-01 2022 Indiana @ Michigan 50–65 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Michigan @ Ohio State 77–58 regular
2022-01-24 2022 Purdue @ Michigan 66–79 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Wisconsin @ Michigan 44–83 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Michigan @ Maryland 69–49 regular
2022-01-14 2022 Michigan @ Penn State 74–57 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Rutgers @ Michigan 47–76 regular
2022-01-05 2022 Michigan @ Nebraska 58–79 regular
2021-12-31 2022 Ohio State @ Michigan 71–90 regular
2021-12-22 2022 Eastern Michigan @ Michigan canceled regular
2021-12-19 2022 Baylor @ Michigan N 68–74 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Minnesota @ Michigan 61–73 regular
2021-12-10 2022 Michigan @ Wisconsin 93–81 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Akron @ Michigan 54–93 regular
2021-12-03 2022 Michigan @ Louisville 48–70 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Mississippi State @ Michigan N 48–64 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Michigan @ Oregon State N 61–52 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Oakland @ Michigan 58–69 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Michigan @ Central Michigan 69–45 regular
2021-11-16 2022 UMass Lowell @ Michigan 54–73 regular
2021-11-13 2022 St. Francis Brooklyn @ Michigan 46–82 regular
2021-11-10 2022 IU Indianapolis @ Michigan 62–67 regular