cbb·system

Michigan Wolverines

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.32 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.49 possessions per game 4.60

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 58.00 to 143.40 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Michigan @ LSU 42–66 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-17 2023 UNLV @ Michigan N 59–71 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 Michigan @ Ohio State N 79–81 conf_tournament
2023-03-02 2023 Penn State @ Michigan N 61–63 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 Michigan @ Wisconsin 70–78 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Rutgers @ Michigan 53–71 regular
2023-02-21 2023 Ohio State @ Michigan 74–61 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Michigan @ Indiana 52–68 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Nebraska @ Michigan 75–80 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Michigan @ Michigan State 77–67 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Illinois @ Michigan 57–74 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Michigan @ Minnesota 77–41 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Michigan @ Maryland 64–72 regular
2023-01-24 2023 Indiana @ Michigan 92–83 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Michigan @ Rutgers 81–58 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Michigan State @ Michigan 55–70 regular
2023-01-10 2023 Michigan @ Purdue 80–59 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Iowa @ Michigan 94–85 regular
2023-01-03 2023 Penn State @ Michigan 72–82 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Michigan @ Ohio State 57–66 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Michigan @ Nebraska 76–59 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Michigan @ North Carolina N 76–68 regular
2022-12-17 2023 App State @ Michigan 49–77 regular
2022-12-09 2023 Toledo @ Michigan 71–68 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Northwestern @ Michigan 66–77 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Michigan @ Miami 76–64 regular
2022-11-28 2023 Michigan @ Baylor N 84–75 regular
2022-11-27 2023 South Florida @ Michigan N 58–63 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Air Force @ Michigan N 48–68 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Michigan @ Fairfield 69–53 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Western Michigan @ Michigan 67–99 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Saint Francis @ Michigan 36–91 regular
2022-11-09 2023 Delaware State @ Michigan 30–83 regular