cbb·system

Baylor Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.13 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.75 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.38 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.71 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Baylor AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.46 to 1.04 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025288 0.778

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBaylor auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-23 2025 Ole Miss @ Baylor 69–63 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-21 2025 Grand Canyon @ Baylor 60–73 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-09 2025 Baylor @ TCU N 59–64 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Oklahoma State @ Baylor N 74–84 conf_tournament
2025-03-07 2025 Iowa State @ Baylor N 63–69 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 TCU @ Baylor 51–48 regular
2025-02-25 2025 Baylor @ Kansas State 79–62 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Iowa State @ Baylor 52–67 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Baylor @ Colorado 84–62 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Baylor @ Texas Tech 66–60 regular
2025-02-12 2025 West Virginia @ Baylor 65–75 regular
2025-02-09 2025 BYU @ Baylor 71–83 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Baylor @ Houston 92–47 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Cincinnati @ Baylor 59–98 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Baylor @ UCF 75–64 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Baylor @ TCU 75–80 regular
2025-01-20 2025 UCLA @ Baylor N 72–57 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Houston @ Baylor 51–70 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Utah @ Baylor 61–70 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Baylor @ Arizona State 78–59 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Baylor @ Arizona 81–76 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Colorado @ Baylor 62–76 regular
2025-01-01 2025 Oklahoma State @ Baylor 84–61 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Baylor @ Kansas 86–66 regular
2024-12-18 2025 Utah Tech @ Baylor 34–97 regular
2024-12-08 2025 UNLV @ Baylor 64–71 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Texas Southern @ Baylor 29–101 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Louisiana Tech @ Baylor 54–98 regular
2024-11-29 2025 LSU New Orleans @ Baylor 58–84 regular
2024-11-25 2025 Villanova @ Baylor N 62–73 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Indiana @ Baylor N 73–65 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Southern Miss @ Baylor N 55–101 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Baylor 42–65 regular
2024-11-15 2025 East Texas A&M @ Baylor 55–104 regular
2024-11-11 2025 Baylor @ Oregon 74–76 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Incarnate Word @ Baylor 33–85 regular