cbb·system

Northern Colorado Bears

mens Big Sky canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.12 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.77 possessions per game 4.28

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Northern Colorado AdjME across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.46 to 0.35 over 70 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231220 0.375

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorthern Colorado auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-06 2023 Northern Colorado @ Montana State N 73–84 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Northern Colorado @ Portland State N 84–80 conf_tournament
2023-02-28 2023 Idaho State @ Northern Colorado 72–87 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado 85–82 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington 77–89 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Northern Colorado @ Idaho 82–84 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado 54–70 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Portland State @ Northern Colorado 79–88 regular
2023-02-07 2023 Weber State @ Northern Colorado 54–88 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 62–75 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Northern Colorado @ Montana 67–69 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona 73–83 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Idaho @ Northern Colorado 67–73 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado 83–75 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Northern Colorado @ Portland State 69–67 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State 64–72 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Montana @ Northern Colorado 79–74 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 77–56 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State 83–90 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Northern Colorado @ Weber State 72–81 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Air Force @ Northern Colorado 67–65 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Northern Colorado @ Colorado 77–88 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Northern Colorado @ Cal State Northridge 70–63 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Northern Colorado @ Colorado State 88–83 regular
2022-11-28 2023 Northern Colorado @ New Mexico 74–98 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Jacksonville State @ Northern Colorado N 82–86 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Northern Colorado @ North Dakota State N 80–70 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Colorado Christian @ Northern Colorado 70–69 non_d1
2022-11-19 2023 San José State @ Northern Colorado 80–69 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Northern Colorado @ Baylor 62–95 regular
2022-11-12 2023 East Texas A&M @ Northern Colorado 77–80 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Northern Colorado @ Houston 36–83 regular